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2024-12-14 12:38:16

The negative spread of 10-year treasury bonds between China and the United States has expanded to more than 250BP, the largest since June 2002.Party Committee of CITIC Group: Firmly support the CPC Central Committee's decision to punish Xu Zuo. According to the news of CITIC Group official micro on December 13th, recently, the Party Committee of CITIC Group held a meeting to convey the decision of the State Supervision Commission of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection to punish Xu Zuo. Xi Guohua, secretary and chairman of the Party Committee, presided over the meeting and made a speech, and members of the Party Committee made statements. Comrades attending the meeting unanimously expressed their firm support for the decision of the CPC Central Committee and the decision of the State Supervision Commission of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.


Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Solar energy and other new companies have set up photovoltaic power generation equipment business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, China Energy Saving Ledebao Solar Technology (Delingha) Co., Ltd. was established, with Du Hu as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of solar thermal utilization equipment; Lease of photovoltaic power generation equipment; Ecological restoration and ecological protection services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly owned by China Energy Saving Solar Technology Co., Ltd. and Qinghai Laidebao New Materials Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of solar energy.The negative spread of 10-year treasury bonds between China and the United States has expanded to more than 250BP, the largest since June 2002.


Pacific Securities: The reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to focus on three directions. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that with the continuous breakthrough of new markets and technologies, the new cycle of photovoltaic parity is accelerating, and the reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to begin. It is suggested to focus on three directions: 1) The new cycle of supply and demand is expected to start in 2025, the industry quotation and profit are expected to be restored, and the leading advantages will be gradually highlighted. In 2025, it is expected to usher in a new round of growth, including Longji Green Energy and Jingke Energy. 2) New technology fields with large cost reduction space and continuous technology iteration, such as GCL Technology and Perovskite, are expected to fully benefit; 3) The advantages of supporting facilities and leading enterprises are prominent, and emerging markets are expected to promote the rapid improvement of shipments and profits, and the advantages of leading enterprises will be further enhanced, and enterprises such as Sunshine Power and Foster are expected to fully benefit.Real estate stocks fluctuated lower, with Gorgeous Family, Qixia Construction, Everbright Jiabao and Tiandiyuan falling more than 5%, while urban construction development and Chongqing development followed suit.The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1876, down by 22 points; The median price of the previous trading day was 7.1854, the official closing price of the previous trading day was 7.2630, and it closed at 7.2700 last night.

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